Showing posts with label Fantasy Football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fantasy Football. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

Week 6 Fantsy Waiver Wire


      Week 6's Fantasy Waiver Wire was looking to be pretty boring, and then a couple backs got hurt. Now we are looking at a very intriguing grab for some guys who could potentially be lead backs for their teams. What makes it even more cloudy though is the fact that there seems to be a little bit of a competition for both the open spots. There are two upstarts that can will more than likely be thrown into the starting role this week, adding instant value to your fantasy team. Beware though, as their are some experienced reserves that will get healthy. Once these guys come back, they are going to be equally hungry to fill the void. So if the less experience player falters early, they might be quickly replaced. So with that here are some guys you should look to pick up, if you have space on your bench of course.

Alex Green and James Starks: Cedric Benson is out for 8 weeks because of a Lisfranc foot injury. This opens the way for Alex Green (0.8 percent owned) and James Starks (5.9 percent owned) to pick up the usual 40-80 yards, and possibly a touch down, Packers starting running backs seem to get. So which way do you go here? No one likes being that guy who picks up the one injury fill in just to lose their job. In my opinion I would go with James Starks here, he may be hurt at the moment, but once healthy he has a better grasp of the job and the NFL. Alex Green is definitely the more talented back in this situation, but he is very raw and it seems Mike McCarthy seems to agree. According to ESPN.com "McCarthy hinted towards Starks because of Starks' pass-blocking knowledge." Starks may not be the best running back out of the two for Week 6, but I believe further down the road (maybe even as early as Week 7) Starks will win this job. Don't forget that Starks was the guy who ran for 123 yards, breaking a Packers rookie record, during the Packers Super Bowl Run.

LaRod Stephens-Howling and William Powell: This is the running back situation for the more desperate fantasy teams out there. The Cardinals' offensive line is absolutely putrid, so don't go dropping a solid contributor for either of these two. As for the actual running backs, this situation between the experienced one (Stephens-Howling) and the younger gun (Powell). Stephens-Howling is definitely the one with the immediate value, he expects to start this week. The thing is that Stephens-Howling is so much more fit for a change of pace, being only 185 pounds. This is smelling like either a timeshare, or the Cardinals are going to pick up somebody else new to be the back. Unfortunately, this Cardinals line is so bad at stopping anybody from getting to the ball carrier that you should probably wait a week to grab anyone in Arizona. Just ask Beanie Wells or Ryan Williams owners.

Jahvid Best: My pro-tip last week is starting to get some buzz around him, even though he is not playing Week 6. He is not cleared just yet to play for Week 7, but after reading about how Best looked during training camp, I personally can't imagine him not playing against Chicago. Best is a former 1st round pick, a guy who (when healthy) carved up the Bears on Monday Night Football. The Lions NEED him to inject some buzz in this offense, as both a running back and a pass catcher. This can be a time share in the beginning with Leshoure, but Leshoure against the Vikings seemed really slow. Even if Best is getting around 12 carries and 7 targets a week, his speed will make up for the lack of immediate touches (even though 19 wouldn't be a small number).

Devery Henderson: Sure, this guy has been inconsistent for most of his fantasy football life. The thing is that the weapons around Henderson have been dwindling slowly. Meachem is in San Diego, Graham and Moore are both hurt. Henderson went from just a deep threat, to now probably being either the number 2 or 3 option in the Saints passing attack. Match that with this guys speed, and some other teams bye weeks, this could ignite like a wildfire. Now Moore could come back next week (this week is their bye), and Devery could go back to being the inconsistent deep threat. It is always frustrating to have that gets 24 on your bench who you are never comfortable to play. If Moore is out though, and you need a guy to play, this guy isn't not a bad choice.

Kendall Wright: In PPR, this guy should of been on your roster weeks ago. In other formats though Wright, who was looked at only as a short term value, Wright is still holding onto being a decent option. Kenny Britt still looks like a ticking time bomb ready to explode with points. If he can't go this week though Wright could be an interesting player Thursday night.

Brandon Gibson: Really interesting guy who is still a little bit low key, we have seen what Amendola has done being the Rams' number 1 receiver. Brandon Gibson was a bit of a sleeper to start the year, and then Amendola was a revolution in the first 4 weeks. Amendola is out though, maybe for the whole year, so Gibson is the top target now. Immediate value may not be there, but I find the upside very intriguing. 

Stretch Finds:
Last week we did some trade values, and they are very similar this week, so now we are looking at some stretch finds.

Shane Vereen: Could replace Woodhead in the pass game, and could get some rushes since Ridley may have ball security issues here. Question is Brandon Bolden may keep Vereen off the field now.

Kendall Hunter: He is securely at the number 2 spot for now, Gore could tire out or get hurt though. Hunter may shine in those pesky fantasy playoffs.

Really Any Cleveland Receiver: Some people are trying to talk themselves into Massoquoi, Norwood, or Gordon. Personally, I think it is too big of a mess and you should avoid it. There is a chance to get lucky and pick the right one, but can you really talk yourself into that guy?

T.Y. Hilton and Donnie Avery: Donnie Avery was a hot pick up a couple of weeks ago, but his value is come down. To me, he is better than Hilton but either one of these guys could be good.

Davone Bess: More defensive attention to Brian Hartline, makes Bess at the very least interesting.

Saturday, October 6, 2012

Fantasy Football Position Rankings: Week 5

   
     Ok, so here is how I'm going to do this. I am in several PPR (Point Per Reception) leagues, so I will be doing rankings according to those rules. It shouldn't be much of a difference from other league formats, there should just be a few differences. Also the way I am ranking these players is strictly due to how many fantasy points they should score.
     I will do the top 25 QB's, 40 RB's, 50 WR's, 25 TE's, and I guess all of the defenses. I won't be doing kickers, as long as your kicker starts, he should get at least a few points. I will make 4 tiers for each position: 1. Must start. No matter what. Even if there's a fire. 2. Safe start, should put up solid numbers. 3. Iffy, at best. If you have better options don't bother, could put up good numbers. 4. Only play if you are extremely desperate due to injuries, or if you just have no idea how to draft a fantasy football team. Ok so let's do this:

NOTE: Obviously this will be posted after the Thursday game unfortunately, I was unable to do this until now, so no Rams or Cardinals players will be on this list.
QB's
Tier 1
1. Robert Griffin III
2. Aaron Rodgers
3. Drew Brees
4. Tom Brady
5. Matt Ryan
6. Jay Cutler
7. Cam Newton
8. Eli Manning
Tier 2
9. Peyton Manning
10. Andy Dalton
11. Philip Rivers
12. Ben Roethlisberger
13. Andrew Luck
14. Michael Vick
15. Joe Flacco
16. Matt Schaub
17. Ryan Fitzpatrick
Tier 3
18. Alex Smith
19. Christian Ponder
20. Matt Hasselbeck
21. Brandon Weeden
Tier 4
22. Matt Cassel
23. Russel Wilson
24. Mark Sanchez
25. Tim Tebow (See what I did there?)
Honorable Mention: Josh Freeman... If you're really that desperate.

RB's
Tier 1
1. Arian Foster
2. Ray Rice
3. LeSean McCoy
4. Adrian Peterson
5. Trent Richardson
6. MJD
7. Jamaal Charles
8. Matt Forte
9. Marshawn Lynch
10. Ahmad Bradshaw
Tier 2
11. Reggie Bush
12. BenJarvus Green-Ellis (aka The Law Firm)
13. Darren Sproles
14. Frank Gore
15. Ryan Matthews
16. Donald Brown
17. Rashard Mendenhall
18. C.J. Spiller
19. Cedric Benson
20. Alfred Morris
Tier 3
21. Willis McGahee
22. Chris Johnson (Note: I won't be convinced he is better than this until he is consistent)
23. Jonathan Stewart
24. Andre Brown
25. Shonn Greene
26. Michael Turner
27. Jackie Battle (Still up in the air for me, could end up being better than what I have him)
28. Doug Martin
29. Michael Bush
30. DeAngelo Williams
Tier 4
31. Pierre Thomas
32. Stevan Ridley
33. Ben Tate (He would be higher, but is hurting and has Foster..)
34. Toby Gerhart
35. Brandon Bolden
36. Jacquizz Rodgers
37. Kendall Hunter
38. Isaac Redman
39. Danny Woodhead
40. John Kuhn

WR's
Tier 1.
1. Roddy White
2. Julio Jones
3. Jordy Nelson
4. Mike Wallace
5. Victor Cruz
6. Wes Welker
7. A.J. Green
8. Percy Harvin
9. Brandon Marshall
10. Eric Decker
Tier 2
11. Demaryius Thomas
12. Dwayne Bowe
13. Brandon Lloyd
14. Reggie Wayne
15. Torrey Smith
16. Andre Johnson
17. Domenik Hixon (Just until Nicks is healthy)
18. Anquan Boldin
19. Steve Smith
20. Antonio Brown
21. Marques Colston
22. Stevie Johnson
23. Pierre Garcon
24. Malcom Floyd
25. Jeremy Maclin
Tier 3
26. Jeremy Kerley
27. Lance Moore(NOTE: Moore was just ruled out, just pretend everyone moves up a spot)
28. Kenny Britt
29. Sydney Rice
30. DeSean Jackson
31. James Jones
32. Davone Bess
33. Donnie Avery
34. Michael Crabtree
35. Santana Moss
36. Brian Hartline
37. Kendall Wright
38. Nate Washington
39. Greg Little
40. Alshon Jeffery
Tier 4.
41. T.Y. Hilton
42. Mario Manningham
43. Stephen Hill (Could be a sleeper since Holmes is gone)
44. Leonard Hankerson
45. Brandon LaFell
46. Robert Meachem
47. Eddie Royal
48. Kevin Walter
49. Brandon Stokely
50. Andrew Hawkins

TE's
Tier 1
1. Rob Gronkowski
2. Jimmy Graham
3. Tony Gonzalez
4. Vernon Davis
5. Jermichael Finley
6. Antonio Gates
Tier 2
7. Brent Celek
8. Dennis Pitta
9. Jermaine Gresham
10. Fred Davis
11. Scott Chandler
12. Martellus Bennet
13. Heath Miller
14. Owen Daniels
Tier 3
15. Greg Olsen
16. Jered Cook
17. Mercedes Lewis
18. Coby Fleener
19. Kyle Rudolph
20. Jacob Tamme
Tier 4
21. Joel Dreessen
22. Benjamin Watson
23. Tony Moeaki
24. Anthony Fasano
25. Kellen Davis

DEF
Tier 1
1. Chicago
2. Houston
3. San Francisco
4. Baltimore
5. Seattle
6. Atlanta
7. Cincinnati
Tier 2
8. Pittsburgh
9. Philadelphia
10. Giants
11. Minnesota
12. Carolina
13. Kansas City
14. Green Bay
15. New England
Tier 3
16. San Diego
17. Miami
18. Tennessee
19. Buffalo
Tier 4 (If you know what's good for you, please do not play any of these defenses)
20. Jets
21. Indianapolis
22. Denver
23. Washington
24. Cleveland
25. Jacksonville
26. New Orleans

Well there you have it. If you're wondering why I do the predictions, my 4-0, 3-1, and 3-1 respective fantasy league records speak for themselves. Don't agree with me? Let me know in the comments below.

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Gearing Up for Week 5 Fantasy Football



Week 5 is approaching this week and which means fantasy football is shaping up a little more from it's usually unpredictable beginning. The good news about that is you are more ready for knowing what to expect, the bad news is if you feel helpless because you are expecting defeat. So what are the keys going into this week that can win you a possibly key game. Let's get into it:

(All percentages are based on ESPN and this of course is all speculation, you have been warned)

If he is a free agent do yourself a favor and pick him up: Rashard Mendenhall is only owned in 63.7% of leagues, which is a high amount for someone who will typically be found is this column. The thing is that in every league he is not owned, you are going to want to be the smart guy in the room that picks him up. He is going to play this week, and he is going to be the lead back. The Steelers don't run nearly as much as they use to, but he is still a good call for at least 60 yards and a good shot at getting a TD. That's 12 points, and I am sure you have room on you roster for someone who has a good shot of getting 12.

Also another favor you can do yourself: The guy who would lead this column in normal circumstances is definitely Brian Hartline. Had I been doing this two weeks ago I would of told you to pick up Hartline, but I wasn't there, so I am telling you now. He is available in 73.3 percent of the leagues, and I bet that is cut into at least one fourth of that after this waiver period. Hartline will be the hot pickup if available, so if you are at the bottom of the priority list you may want to go in a different direction. If he's there though and you have a real shot of grabbing him, get him you are not going to regret it.
     Another receiver that may be a good pick up is Andre Roberts, who has put up a couple solid weeks to start up the year. He is owned in 1.9 percent of leagues, and is also the number 8 receiver fantasy-wise on the season. He won't be ranked that high all year, but it is guaranteed everyone in your league has someone on their bench that is much worse than 8th best player at their position.

Buyer Beware: Look, this is not about to say don't pick him up, because if you can get him then go ahead. That being said, it is hard to see Brandon Bolden being a consistent fantasy producing player, even though he really looked like a stud on Sunday with 20 points. He is owned in only 0.3 percent, and there is sure to be one of the running back deprived players in the league who will pick Bolden up (and I am guaranteeing there is someone who will start him this week). Beware though as New England can get murky, Shane Vereen believers haven't seen any return on their investment, and there is as good of chance Bolden's name is barely brought up the rest of the year.

Because running backs are always in demand in 2012: The running back position use to be one of the most revered in fantasy football, and now it seems like there are players in every league throwing out someone who gets a score of 5 or less. There are some options that are safer than Bolden that can be picked up this week. Jackie Battle is owned in 9 percent of leagues and has averaged 14 points the last 3 weeks. There is a 5 point game in there, and that is most likely his production this week, but he is a pretty good guy to put on your bench if Matthews struggles. I personally am a big believer in Battle, he has played well every opportunity he has had. I personally think he is consistently better than some backs that start in this league. (Quick Edit: Battle has been named the starter this week over Ryan Matthews on Wednesday, hopefully you took the advice.)
       Another solid pickup at running back is Shaun Draughn, right now Jamaal Charles fairly has a vice grip on the carries in Kansas City. Draughn though has been rising up Kansas City's depth chart, and may be the back up even if Hillis returns. So right now Draughn has some value as a back up (averaging 5.5 points a game), and he has a long term value if Charles gets hurt too. Bilal Powell will start one day for the Jets and is owned in only 5.4 percent of leagues, so even if he hasn't shown a whole lot of explosion he is still a solid pickup. Kendall Hunter, Ronnie Hillman, and Jacquizz Rodgers are backups that also should not be ignored.

Sell High, Buy Low: Most fantasy columns don't have a list of who to trade for and who to trade, so here it is going to be attempted to incorporate a list of these players. It has gotten to that point where you are better off making your team better through trading. So here is the list of people you might want to buy low if you believe in them (think Wes Welker 2 weeks ago) or might want to sell high before you feel their value will go down (Michael Bush before Forte returned), always try to get a fair deal though.
Buy Lows:
Phillip Rivers, Tony Romo, Chris Johnson (if you believe), Ryan Matthews, Ryan Williams, Beanie Wells, Greg Jennings, Sidney Rice, Kenny Britt, and Antonio Gates
Sell Highs:
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Andy Dalton, Joe Flacco, Alfred Morris, Stevan Ridley, Chris Johnson (if you think that was his last hurrah), Miles Austin, Danny Amendola, Andrew Hawkins, Dennis Pitta, and Kyle Rudolph

One Last Note: Pro tip, if you have a bench player who collects dust every week and need some help not only now but in the future. Jahvid Best is only owned in 1.4 percent of leagues, and has better case to be a  better option than any of the aforementioned running backs. He comes back in Week 7, that is only 2 weeks from now. Do it now and avoid the rush for Best.